PRESCOTT VALLEY, Ariz. — As Shardé Walter’s family cut everything from camping trips to Eggo waffles to balance their inflation-adjusted budget this summer, he grew up with Republicans who ruled Arizona for ten years.
“You’ve got those hoity-toity Republicans, and then you’ve got somebody like me — just trying to survive,” Ms. Walter, 36, as he waited for former President Donald J. Trump to arrive at a meeting on Friday for his list of candidates in the Republican primaries of Arizona.
“We’re kicking our ass,” he continued, “but we’re broke for no reason.”
The 2 Aug. The Republican primary in Arizona has been cast as a defining contest between traditional Republicans and Trump loyalists, with the potential to reshape a political battleground at the heart of struggles for voting rights and including elections. Several leading Republican candidates in Arizona for governor, secretary of state, attorney general and the US Senate have lied about the “stolen” 2020 election as a key part of their campaign.
But the choice between traditional conservatives and Trump-backed firebrands is also fueling the anger of working-class conservatives with an economic and political system dominated by Republicans, the report shows. measures the difference between voters who benefited from the increase in home values and the tax cut. to the rich, and those who are thinking of leaving more and more to punish the Republican House at the ballot box.
“It’s like ‘The Great Gatsby’ — old meets new,” said Mike Noble, head of research with polling firm OH Predictive Insights, based in Phoenix. “It’s a very telling time for the GOP. Are they going the way of MAGA, or the conservative McCain-Goldwater way that gave them control over the state?”
National polls of Republicans show that voters’ opinions of Mr. Trump and the 2020 election on the lines of education.
A New York Times/Siena College poll released this month found that 64 percent of Republican primary voters without a college degree believe Mr. Trump is the likely winner of the 2020 election. Forty-four percent of Republican voters with a bachelor’s degree or higher said Mr. Trump is the winner.
Mr. Trump is the favorite among Republican voters with a high school degree or less, with 62 percent saying they would vote for him in the 2024 Republican presidential primary if the election is held in today. Less than 30 percent of Republican primary voters with college degrees said they would vote for Mr. Trump.
In Arizona’s race for governor, the Republican Party has rallied around Karrin Taylor Robson, a billionaire who is establishing himself as a trusted leader from his days as an employee in the Reagan White House.
The Trump wing of the party is behind Kari Lake, a news anchor supported by Trump who has sparked an anti-establishment rebellion by lies about the 2020 election and provocations such as promising to crack down on smuggling tunnels along the southern border.
Ms. Robson in the first director of Ms. Lake in the polls, but new surveys show that Ms. Lake ahead.
A recent poll of 650 Arizona Republican primary voters by Alloy Analytics found a 10-point lead for Ms. Lake, because of his strength with business voters, while other studies show a more difficult race. Ms. Lake has a 15-point gap with voters whose families make less than $50,000 a year. Republicans have contributed more than $200,000 a year to Ms. Robson by a 14-point margin.
Ms. Robson in his $15 million campaign and local television is covered with ads. He has amassed a long list of supporters from law enforcement agencies, Arizona’s three living Republican governors and prominent national Republicans, including former Vice President Mike Pence and Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey.
Both women are running as anti-abortion, pro-gun, pro-wall conservatives who are vowing to mobilize law enforcement to deal with what they call violence. Also do not forget an opportunity to raise the President Biden and the Democrats for the rise, crime or culture-war as a serious national opinion.
Everyone tried to claim the mantle of the only true conservative in the race. In a debate, Ms. Lake to Ms. Robson for refusing to join the other candidates in raising their hand and declaring – falsely – that the 2020 election was stolen. Ms. Robson told voters that 2020 was “unfair,” pointing to the news and pandemic-driven changes to election rules. In a recent CNN report, he declined to say whether he would confirm the 2020 results, as Mr. Ducey.
In an interview, Ms.
“He’s a very good actor,” said Ms. Robson. “We have real issues to deal with, from water to housing to expansion.”
The populist relatives of Ms. Lake and the story about a Trump-era political approach said conservatives aren’t saying they’ve given up on Republican politics. The announcement of Ms. Lake in an interview.
Moderates say they just want a credible Republican to hold the governor’s seat, and they’ve been convinced by Ms.
On Friday, the divisions between the two candidates became more visible in the contests where Ms. Robson by Mr. Pence, and Mr.
In Peoria, Ariz., a suburb of Phoenix, the gathering was similar for Ms. Robson as a Chamber of Commerce luncheon.
Hundreds of voters in Friday shirts and summer t-shirts eating barbecue in a plant that employs military designers like Mr. Pence and Gov. Doug Ducey gave speeches in support of Ms. Robson as a conservative keeps the faith.
Later that evening at the Trump event, Ms. Lake to Mr. Ducey as “weak” on border security and “Ducey is ineffective.” Mr. Ducey hates Mr. Trump to confirm the victory of Mr. Biden has 10,000 in Arizona, as he signed a new voter registration law that was opposed by Democrats and he supported right-wing politicians like State Senator Wendy Rogers.
Supporters of Ms. Robson, they, too, are concerned by the rising costs, but, more urgently, they want their new governor to be an electable conservative instead of the bomb-throwing legacy of Mr . Trump.
“Whatever he’s worried about, we’re worried about,” said Barb Leonard, 55, who works in software and lives in Scottsdale. “The border, the economy, the police.”
Some voters said they didn’t buy the hype about Mr. Trump’s election fraud. Trump and Ms. Lake has been trading for months. Others said they wanted Republicans to stop fixing the 2020 election and instead focus on border security, funding and bipartisan legislation to achieve Arizona’s growth. lack of water and fires.
Political analysts in Arizona said some voters appeared to be rallying around Ms. Robson as the most popular vote. Democrats are expected to nominate Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, who has defended Arizona’s voting system against attacks from Mr. Trump and his friends.
“I don’t want to raise children in a country that hates each other,” said Derek Weech, 23, a Brigham Young University student and supporter of Ms. Robson is working on starting his own business. “Looking at the last election we can’t win.”
So far, this year’s Republican primaries have been a mixed bag for Trump-backed candidates who are running on renominations. JD Vance, author of “Hillbilly Elegy”, won his first term for the US Senate in Ohio. Doug Mastriano won the Republican governorship in Pennsylvania after leading a reversal of the 2020 election results there.
But last month in Colorado, Republican voters voted in favor of an agency that allowed the 2020 election results in the US Senate race. In Georgia, voters gave a landslide victory to Mr. Trump, in full support of the incumbent Republican governor and secretary of state, both refused to overturn the 2020 election results there.
In Prescott Valley, an anti-establishment speech and an example from Mr. Trump will draw thousands of supporters through the doors.
They poured into a match with controversy and anger on shirts that read, “Trump Won,” “Jihadi Joe” and “Let’s Go Brandon,” the slur covered in Mr. Biden.
Speaking Ms. Lake to the public, he got a lot of fun with each dig to Mr. Biden called for an end to the border wall. But one of the biggest joys came when he announced his plan to allow high school students to focus on studying business after their second year.
That idea quickly won over Bruce Laughlin, a retired auto technician, and his wife, Cheryl, a dental assistant.
“We never went to college,” said Ms. Laughlin.
“We need carpenters. We need plumbers,” her husband said. “They’ve been neglected.”
Janet Olson, 50, said skyrocketing gas, electric and grocery bills mean she doesn’t share in Arizona’s prosperity. There was only enough left each month for one comfort; on Friday, he poured his last $9.95 into his car and drove out of Phoenix into the mountains to see Ms. Lake and Mr. Trump.
“Every month it gets harder,” said Ms. Olson.
He said he was isolated from the Arizona Republican Party, but at home with people waiting with him in concession lines to buy $4.50 bottled water and $5 nachos.
“We don’t like bow ties and caviar,” said Ms. Olson. “We love corn dogs and funnel cakes. And Kari Lake.
Will Davis presented the report.